Daily Signals – 9/16/25 – ChartingCycles

Daily Signals – 9/16/25

≥ 50% Win Rate

Bullish

Ticker	Name	Lvl	Win Rate	% Move
NXPI	NXP Semiconductors	2	80% (10)	-8%
TTD	Trade Desk (The)	1	79% (28)	-17%
EW	Edwards Lifesciences	1	69% (65)	-8%
CRM	Salesforce	1	56% (62)	-7%
SW	Smurfit Westrock	1	56% (18)	-6%
KO	Coca-Cola Company (The)	1	54% (79)	-4%
VTRS	Viatris	1	52% (99)	-9%

Bearish

Ticker	Name	Lvl	Win Rate	% Move
MU	Micron Technology	3	85% (13)	36%
BABA	Alibaba Group Holding Lim…	2	67% (15)	36%
SAND	Sandstorm Gold Ltd	2	60% (15)	8%
TLT	iShares Barclays 20+ Year…	1	60% (91)	4%
VGLT	Vanguard Long-Term Govern…	1	60% (63)	4%
EWW	iShares MSCI Mexico Index	2	58% (48)	7%
AGG	iShares Core US Aggregate…	1	58% (107)	2%
KRBN	KraneShares Global Carbon…	2	57% (7)	8%
DBB	PowerShares DB Base Metal…	2	57% (23)	5%
WTW	Willis Towers Watson	1	57% (101)	1%
COHR	Coherent Corp	1	55% (121)	18%
VALE	Vale SA	1	55% (80)	7%
HD	Home Depot (The)	1	55% (132)	3%
VCLT	Vanguard Long-Term Corpor…	1	54% (67)	4%
RWR	SPDR Dow Jones REIT	1	54% (117)	1%
APTV	Aptiv	1	53% (66)	4%
TEL	TE Connectivity	1	53% (95)	3%
BIV	Vanguard Intermediate-Ter…	1	52% (88)	1%
VNO	Vornado Realty Trust	2	51% (47)	12%
LMT	Lockheed Martin	1	51% (129)	6%
XTL	SPDR SP Telecom	1	51% (69)	5%
SPY	SPDR SP 500	1	51% (162)	3%
CHT	Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd	1	51% (81)	3%
LQD	iShares iBoxx $ Invest Gr…	1	50% (108)	2%

< 50% Win Rate

Bullish

Ticker	Name	Lvl	Win Rate	% Move
No exhaustion signals

Bearish

Ticker	Name	Lvl	Win Rate	% Move
BLV	Vanguard Long-Term Bond	1	49% (76)	4%
VOO	Vanguard SP 500	1	49% (96)	3%
IVV	iShares SP 500 Index	1	49% (134)	2%
TFI	SPDR Nuveen Barclays Capi…	1	49% (114)	2%
UHS	Universal Health Services	1	48% (130)	3%
MBB	iShares MBS	1	48% (89)	2%
MGC	Vanguard Mega-Cap 300	1	47% (103)	3%
IWB	iShares Russell 1000 Inde…	1	47% (130)	2%
O	Realty Income	1	46% (123)	4%
RYAM	Rayonier Advanced Materia…	2	45% (11)	19%
RXI	iShares SP Global Consume…	1	45% (96)	5%
IOO	iShares SP Global 100 Ind…	1	45% (109)	3%
IWV	iShares Russell 3000 Inde…	1	45% (122)	2%
OTIS	Otis Worldwide	1	44% (27)	4%
OEF	iShares SP 100 Index	1	44% (132)	3%
VYM	Vanguard High Dividend Yi…	1	44% (94)	2%
VCIT	Vanguard Intermediate-Ter…	1	43% (82)	2%
MUB	iShares National AMT-Free…	1	43% (109)	2%
VTI	Vanguard Total Stock Mark…	1	42% (124)	3%
VTHR	Vanguard Russell 3000	1	42% (90)	3%
HWM	Howmet Aerospace	1	41% (46)	7%
VIG	Vanguard Dividend Appreci…	1	41% (99)	2%
VUG	Vanguard Growth	1	40% (105)	3%
ITOT	iShares Core SP Total US…	1	40% (109)	2%

Win Rate = the percentage of signals where price moves favorably within the next 5 bars. Tested on daily/weekly/monthly histories using up to 30/60/90 years of data (as available). The number in parentheses is the signal count (N).

Median % Move = the median of each signal’s best percent change within the 1–5 bar forward window. Each signal’s best outcome is identified independently, then the median is calculated across all signals. Median is shown because it’s more robust than an average when outliers exist. Note: this differs from the backtester dashboard, which shows the median at each individual candle offset (a fixed holding period).

An asterisk (*) indicates multi-timeframe continuity: the same-direction exhaustion signal appears on 2+ timeframes within the defined alignment window.

The content provided by ChartingCycles is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. We are not a registered investment advisor (RIA) or broker-dealer. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk and you should not invest money you cannot afford to lose.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Some results presented may be based on simulated or hypothetical performance, which has inherent limitations and does not represent actual trading.