Daily Signals – 9/22/25 – ChartingCycles

Daily Signals – 9/22/25

≥ 50% Win Rate

Bullish

Ticker	Name	Lvl	Win Rate	% Move
TPH	TRI Pointe Homes Inc	1	69% (39)	-6%
VRSK	Verisk Analytics	1	68% (37)	-9%
CMCSA	Comcast	2	67% (24)	-7%
JKHY	Jack Henry Associates	1	66% (67)	-7%
CL	Colgate-Palmolive	1	66% (79)	-6%
CHD	Church Dwight	1	65% (71)	-9%
PHM	PulteGroup	1	64% (88)	-5%
KXI	iShares SP Global Consume…	1	64% (45)	-3%
LEN	Lennar	1	63% (94)	-11%
DHI	D R Horton	1	62% (89)	-8%
FDS	FactSet	1	61% (82)	-21%
BSX	Boston Scientific	1	61% (79)	-10%
KMB	Kimberly-Clark	1	61% (72)	-5%
CARR	Carrier Global	1	61% (18)	-5%
XHB	SPDR SP Homebuilders	1	60% (60)	-4%
BLDR	Builders FirstSource	1	58% (60)	-13%
LII	Lennox International	1	58% (59)	-4%
IBP	Installed Building Produc…	1	57% (35)	-4%
VDC	Vanguard Consumer Staples	1	57% (53)	-3%
XLP	Consumer Staples Select S…	1	57% (61)	-3%
TREX	Trex Company Inc	1	56% (81)	-13%
ITB	iShares US Home Construct…	1	55% (51)	-6%
WY	Weyerhaeuser	1	54% (90)	-4%
LPX	Louisiana-Pacific Corpora…	1	50% (100)	-9%

Bearish

Ticker	Name	Lvl	Win Rate	% Move
SCHB	Schwab US Broad Market	2	67% (43)	3%
HYG	iShares iBoxx $ High Yiel…	2	67% (45)	1%
MRVL	Marvell Technology	2	66% (29)	18%
ASML	ASML Holding NV	2	64% (47)	27%
QTUM	Defiance Quantum ETF	2	64% (14)	13%
ACWI	iShares MSCI ACWI Index	2	63% (35)	3%
AMAT	Applied Materials	2	60% (45)	27%
VV	Vanguard Large-Cap	2	60% (55)	3%
SCHX	Schwab US Large-Cap	2	59% (44)	3%
VONE	Vanguard Russell 1000	2	58% (43)	3%
TSLA	Tesla Inc	2	57% (21)	28%
CMI	Cummins	2	57% (49)	6%
VT	Vanguard Total World Stoc…	2	57% (35)	3%
KLAC	KLA Corporation	2	55% (38)	23%
EA	Electronic Arts	1	55% (101)	4%
TSM	Taiwan Semiconductor Manu…	2	54% (28)	16%
IGV	iShares North American Te…	2	54% (46)	10%
VOX	Vanguard Telecommunicatio…	1	54% (92)	2%
IYW	iShares Dow Jones US Tech…	2	51% (53)	8%
TRP	TC Energy Corporation	1	51% (134)	2%
LRCX	Lam Research	2	50% (36)	32%
ETSY	Etsy Inc	2	50% (10)	18%
QCLN	Clean Edge Green Energy	1	50% (82)	14%
SOXX	iShares Semiconductor	2	50% (34)	11%
QQQ	PowerShares QQQ	2	50% (54)	5%

< 50% Win Rate

Bullish

Ticker	Name	Lvl	Win Rate	% Move
ALC	Alcon Inc	1	41% (22)	-2%

Bearish

Ticker	Name	Lvl	Win Rate	% Move
CAT	Caterpillar Inc	2	49% (39)	12%
SMH	VanEck Semiconductor	2	49% (39)	11%
IXN	iShares SP Global Technol…	2	49% (39)	8%
LHX	L3Harris	1	49% (136)	5%
SCHG	Schwab US Large-Cap Growt…	2	49% (45)	4%
EWT	iShares MSCI Taiwan Index	2	47% (38)	8%
CWB	SPDR Barclays Capital Con…	2	46% (46)	5%
XLK	Technology Select Sector…	2	43% (53)	8%
VGT	Vanguard Information Tech…	2	40% (45)	8%

Win Rate = the percentage of signals where price moves favorably within the next 5 bars. Tested on daily/weekly/monthly histories using up to 30/60/90 years of data (as available). The number in parentheses is the signal count (N).

Median % Move = the median of each signal’s best percent change within the 1–5 bar forward window. Each signal’s best outcome is identified independently, then the median is calculated across all signals. Median is shown because it’s more robust than an average when outliers exist. Note: this differs from the backtester dashboard, which shows the median at each individual candle offset (a fixed holding period).

An asterisk (*) indicates multi-timeframe continuity: the same-direction exhaustion signal appears on 2+ timeframes within the defined alignment window.

The content provided by ChartingCycles is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. We are not a registered investment advisor (RIA) or broker-dealer. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk and you should not invest money you cannot afford to lose.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Some results presented may be based on simulated or hypothetical performance, which has inherent limitations and does not represent actual trading.