Daily Signals – 12/23/25

≥ 50% Win Rate

Bullish

Ticker	Name	Lvl	Win Rate	Median % Move
GFL	GFL Environmental Inc	2	100% (2)	3.3%
ARM	Arm Holdings plc	1	88% (8)	7.2%
DELL	Dell Technologies	1	79% (19)	1.8%
COST	Costco	3	75% (4)	0.4%
FANG	Diamondback Energy	1	69% (39)	1.5%
COIN	Coinbase	1	68% (19)	2.0%
MPC	Marathon Petroleum	1	55% (40)	0.3%

Bearish

Ticker	Name	Lvl	Win Rate	Median % Move
PPLT	Aberdeen Standard Physica…	2	62% (16)	-0.7%
BOND	PIMCO Total Return	1	61% (62)	-0.1%
WTW	Willis Towers Watson	1	57% (99)	-0.2%
KRBN	KraneShares Global Carbon…	2	57% (7)	-0.1%
ARE	Alexandria Real Estate Eq…	1	56% (117)	-0.2%
BALL	Ball Corporation	1	56% (134)	-0.2%
CTVA	Corteva	1	55% (31)	-0.2%
GE	GE Aerospace	1	55% (122)	-0.2% *
TRV	Travelers Companies (The)	1	53% (118)	-0.1%
AKAM	Akamai Technologies	1	52% (107)	-0.2%
NVS	Novartis AG	1	52% (111)	-0.1%
PENN	PENN Entertainment Inc	1	52% (92)	-0.1%
MAR	Marriott International	1	52% (118)	-0.1%
CMG	Chipotle Mexican Grill	1	52% (89)	-0.0%
CPT	Camden Property Trust	1	51% (111)	-0.1%
ACGL	Arch Capital Group	1	51% (113)	-0.1%
L	Loews Corporation	1	50% (119)	0.0%
HIG	Hartford (The)	1	50% (113)	-0.0%
TWLO	Twilio Inc	2	50% (14)	0.0%

< 50% Win Rate

Bullish

Ticker	Name	Lvl	Win Rate	Median % Move
No exhaustion signals

Bearish

Ticker	Name	Lvl	Win Rate	Median % Move
HYD	Market Vectors High-Yield…	2	49% (41)	0.1%
TKO	TKO Group Holdings	1	49% (106)	0.1%
AIZ	Assurant	1	48% (94)	0.4%
MSCI	MSCI Inc	1	45% (86)	0.5%
OBOR	KraneShares MSCI One Belt…	1	44% (32)	0.2% *

Win Rate = the percentage of signals where price moves favorably within the next 5 bars. Tested on daily/weekly/monthly histories using up to 30/60/90 years of data (as available). The number in parentheses is the signal count (N).

Median % Move = the median of each signal’s best percent change within the 1–5 bar forward window. Each signal’s best outcome is identified independently, then the median is calculated across all signals. Median is shown because it’s more robust than an average when outliers exist. Note: this differs from the backtester dashboard, which shows the median at each individual candle offset (a fixed holding period).

An asterisk (*) indicates multi-timeframe continuity: the same-direction exhaustion signal appears on 2+ timeframes within the defined alignment window.

The content provided by ChartingCycles is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. We are not a registered investment advisor (RIA) or broker-dealer. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk and you should not invest money you cannot afford to lose.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Some results presented may be based on simulated or hypothetical performance, which has inherent limitations and does not represent actual trading.