PTEN (↓ Bearish L1) – Win Rate 84% (116), Median -2.4% PHM (↓ Bearish L1) – Win Rate 82% (120), Median -2.2% NOW (↑ Bullish L1) – Win Rate 92% (24), Median +4.3%
≥ 50% Win Rate
Bullish
Ticker
Level
Win Rate
Median % Move
CRWD
1
94% (17)
5.3%
NOW
1
92% (24)
4.3%
VRSK
1
87% (38)
1.2%
WDAY
1
86% (36)
2.8%
ORLY
1
86% (76)
2.1%
BSX
1
85% (81)
2.3%
SNAP
1
83% (35)
2.4%
PANW
1
82% (39)
3.0%
QGEN
2
78% (36)
2.8%
TEAM
1
78% (18)
2.5%
RKLB
1
77% (13)
3.4%
PGNY
2
75% (4)
6.5%
ZS
1
75% (16)
4.4%
PPLT
1
75% (61)
1.1%
PALL
1
73% (51)
2.3%
DPZ
1
72% (50)
1.9%
MARA
1
68% (65)
3.6%
CLSK
1
58% (38)
2.3%
Bearish
Ticker
Level
Win Rate
Median % Move
EFV
3
88% (8)
-0.9%
PTEN
1
84% (116)
-2.4%
SCHV
2
84% (32)
-0.4%
PHM
1
82% (120)
-2.2%
CCL
2
81% (36)
-1.8%
BAC
1
80% (130)
-1.2%
REG
1
80% (117)
-1.2%
VZ
1
79% (118)
-1.2%
BUD
1
79% (78)
-1.1%
FNDX
1
79% (71)
-0.5%
STLD
1
78% (109)
-2.4%
C
1
78% (124)
-1.6%
KEY
1
78% (107)
-1.3%
RF
1
78% (117)
-1.3%
CFG
1
78% (50)
-1.2%
PH
1
78% (136)
-1.2%
IVE
1
78% (129)
-0.6%
TTEK
1
77% (115)
-1.8%
SPG
1
77% (117)
-1.1%
IYZ
3
77% (13)
-0.7%
SDY
1
77% (92)
-0.6%
VTV
1
77% (111)
-0.4%
CSCO
2
76% (42)
-1.2%
KRE
1
76% (76)
-1.0%
FDX
2
76% (38)
-0.9%
MGV
1
76% (93)
-0.4%
CMC
1
75% (114)
-1.5%
PNC
1
75% (122)
-1.3%
BEN
1
75% (119)
-1.2%
HON
1
75% (122)
-1.1%
JPM
1
75% (140)
-1.0%
EWJ
2
75% (36)
-0.9%
KBE
1
75% (73)
-0.8%
IWD
1
75% (122)
-0.5%
CAT
1
74% (129)
-1.6%
MLM
1
74% (114)
-1.2%
MTB
1
74% (118)
-0.9%
RWR
1
74% (115)
-0.9%
UNP
1
74% (110)
-0.7%
VYM
2
74% (35)
-0.6%
FNDB
1
74% (72)
-0.4%
PRF
1
74% (101)
-0.4%
VONV
1
74% (81)
-0.4%
LUV
1
73% (114)
-1.5%
NDSN
1
73% (117)
-1.3%
MPC
1
72% (68)
-1.5%
IEX
1
72% (123)
-1.0%
ITW
1
72% (125)
-0.8%
VOOV
1
72% (80)
-0.4%
SPLV
1
72% (67)
-0.2%
CVX
3
71% (21)
-1.5%
JCI
2
71% (38)
-1.0%
EXI
1
71% (86)
-0.5%
CVY
1
71% (76)
-0.4%
AOS
1
70% (117)
-1.5%
USB
1
70% (121)
-1.0%
XLI
1
70% (122)
-0.5%
ROL
1
69% (104)
-0.7%
LECO
1
68% (117)
-1.0%
HPE
2
67% (18)
-0.2%
GLW
2
66% (38)
-1.6%
VIS
1
65% (91)
-0.3%
NSC
1
64% (119)
-1.0%
KEYS
2
64% (25)
-0.4%
< 50% Win Rate
Bullish
Ticker
Level
Win Rate
Median % Move
No exhaustion signals
Bearish
Ticker
Level
Win Rate
Median % Move
No exhaustion signals
Recent Winners
WSC (↑ Bullish L1) – Feb 02, +11.3% in 4 days SOUN (↑ Bullish L2) – Feb 02, +4.6% in 5 days HSBC (↓ Bearish L3) – Feb 02, -3.0% in 3 days MKTX (↑ Bullish L1) – Feb 02, +2.9% in 5 days
Win Rate = the percentage of signals where price moves favorably within the next 5 bars. Tested on daily/weekly/monthly histories using up to 30/60/90 years of data (as available). The number in parentheses is the signal count (N).
Median % Move = the median of each signal’s best percent change within the 1–5 bar forward window. Each signal’s best outcome is identified independently, then the median is calculated across all signals. Median is shown because it’s more robust than an average when outliers exist. Note: this differs from the backtester dashboard, which shows the median at each individual candle offset (a fixed holding period).
An asterisk (*) indicates multi-timeframe continuity: the same-direction exhaustion signal appears on 2+ timeframes within the defined alignment window.
The content provided by ChartingCycles is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. We are not a registered investment advisor (RIA) or broker-dealer. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk and you should not invest money you cannot afford to lose.
Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Some results presented may be based on simulated or hypothetical performance, which has inherent limitations and does not represent actual trading.
