Daily Signals – 12/10/25

≥ 50% Win Rate

Bullish

Ticker	Name	Lvl	Win Rate	Median % Move
IVOL	Quadratic Interest Rate V…	1	74% (23)	0.5%
PODD	Insulet Corporation	1	65% (46)	1.2%
AJG	Arthur J Gallagher Co	1	61% (80)	1.0% *
WRB	W R Berkley Corporation	1	60% (75)	0.7%
GILD	Gilead Sciences	1	58% (90)	0.7%
DGX	Quest Diagnostics	1	57% (70)	0.3%
ALL	Allstate	1	56% (77)	0.4%
AFL	Aflac	1	56% (73)	0.3%

Bearish

Ticker	Name	Lvl	Win Rate	Median % Move
APP	AppLovin	2	80% (5)	-0.3%
MCHP	Microchip Technology	2	72% (36)	-0.7%
QTUM	Defiance Quantum ETF	2	71% (14)	-0.6%
BIDU	Baidu Inc	2	66% (29)	-2.0%
XTL	SPDR SP Telecom	2	66% (29)	-0.5%
MPWR	Monolithic Power Systems	2	63% (30)	-0.5%
IRDM	Iridium Communications In…	2	62% (24)	-1.0%
PDP	PowerShares DWA Mom Port	2	61% (44)	-0.2%
IYZ	iShares Dow Jones US Tele…	2	61% (31)	-0.2% *
CVNA	Carvana Co	2	60% (15)	-2.3%
MS	Morgan Stanley	2	60% (45)	-0.5%
STZ	Constellation Brands	3	60% (15)	-0.1%
BK	BNY Mellon	2	59% (39)	-0.2% *
ORCL	Oracle Corporation	1	58% (118)	-0.3%
BKNG	Booking Holdings	2	55% (40)	-0.3%
GS	Goldman Sachs	2	55% (40)	-0.1%
VPL	Vanguard MSCI Pacific	2	55% (31)	-0.0% *
IWF	iShares Russell 1000 Grow…	2	54% (59)	-0.0%
QQQ	PowerShares QQQ	2	53% (55)	-0.1%
SOXX	iShares Semiconductor	2	53% (34)	-0.0%
EWA	iShares MSCI Australia In…	2	51% (39)	-0.1%
IYW	iShares Dow Jones US Tech…	2	51% (53)	-0.0%
RDDT	Reddit Inc	2	50% (6)	-0.4%
TSM	Taiwan Semiconductor Manu…	2	50% (28)	-0.1%
LRCX	Lam Research	2	50% (36)	-0.0%
SMH	VanEck Semiconductor	2	50% (40)	0.1%

< 50% Win Rate

Bullish

Ticker	Name	Lvl	Win Rate	Median % Move
No exhaustion signals

Bearish

Ticker	Name	Lvl	Win Rate	Median % Move
COP	ConocoPhillips	1	49% (127)	0.0%
CWB	SPDR Barclays Capital Con…	2	49% (41)	0.1%
VONG	Vanguard Russell 1000 Gro…	2	46% (39)	0.1%
KEYS	Keysight Technologies	2	46% (24)	0.6%
HPE	Hewlett Packard Enterpris…	2	41% (17)	0.2%
VGT	Vanguard Information Tech…	2	40% (45)	0.2%

Win Rate = the percentage of signals where price moves favorably within the next 5 bars. Tested on daily/weekly/monthly histories using up to 30/60/90 years of data (as available). The number in parentheses is the signal count (N).

Median % Move = the median of each signal’s best percent change within the 1–5 bar forward window. Each signal’s best outcome is identified independently, then the median is calculated across all signals. Median is shown because it’s more robust than an average when outliers exist. Note: this differs from the backtester dashboard, which shows the median at each individual candle offset (a fixed holding period).

An asterisk (*) indicates multi-timeframe continuity: the same-direction exhaustion signal appears on 2+ timeframes within the defined alignment window.

The content provided by ChartingCycles is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. We are not a registered investment advisor (RIA) or broker-dealer. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk and you should not invest money you cannot afford to lose.

Hypothetical Performance Disclosure: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Some results presented may be based on simulated or hypothetical performance, which has inherent limitations and does not represent actual trading.